Has GE ever considered buying Compaq? If not, perhaps it should look into the matter. In this note I'll attempt to explain why this might be a good investment for GE. General Electric is a highly diversified and extremely well managed company. It is a leader in many industries but currently has no significant presence as a producer of computer equipment or software. Compaq makes only computers and the quality of its management is, I believe, abysmal. Since its purchase of the nearly defunct Digital Equipment Corporation several years ago and the purchase of Tandem shortly before that, Compaq has been in a continuous state of turmoil and inner conflict. To this outside observer there seems to be no synergy whatsoever between the PC side of the company and the "enterprise" side which it acquired with these purchases. Instead, the interaction appears to be largely deleterious to the enterprise side of the company, with the PC side apparently dictating that products which do or could compete in the "PC space" be terminated. While the DEC and Tandem brand names were associated with quality products and service the same cannot be said for the Compaq brand. That is, by stamping their name on these products Compaq to some extent devalued them. Furthermore, Compaq's handling of OpenVMS in particular, which accounts directly and indirectly for 4 billion dollars/year in revenue, has reduced that product's growth potential and outraged and disconcerted the affected customers. It is clearly the enterprise side of the company, revolving around the Alpha CPU and the Linux, Himalaya, Tru64, and OpenVMS operating systems that GE should be interested in. In Compaq's latest quarterly results one can see that this side of the company accounted for the lion's share of its profits. These products are high margin, high quality, "industrial strength" computer products that would fit in well with GE's image and other product lines. If GE were to enter the computer field, it seems to me that these are probably the sorts of products it should sell and which would become "GE computer systems". Not only are these products already profitable, they should be even more so once they are finally blessed with competent management, which GE could supply. Here is a brief overview of the products which I believe GE should acquire. OpenVMS and Himalaya are ultra-reliable operating systems. The former has a long history in factory and industrial control situations, which seems a good fit for GE. Both are well represented in financial data processing. Tru64 is currently the operating system of choice for many high technology applications such as bioinformatics or nuclear weapons design - also a good fit with other areas of GE expertise. The Alpha processor that these run on (or in the case of Himalaya, will soon run on) is the outright speed champion for computational work at the moment, and with adequate future support, should be able to hold that title for years to come. Because of its PC-centric world view Compaq has choked off all possible mass market growth opportunities for these products, apparently because it would involve displacing PCs, but substantial market growth is possible for all of these products, both by expanding their shares of current markets ( by displacing Sun, HP, and IBM) or by displacing PCs at the lower end of the market using systems running either Linux or less expensive releases of OpenVMS and/or Tru64. The market niche for Himalaya is more constrained, but that niche is growing. Realistically, an additional investment in software development to pay for the porting of key pieces of software to these platforms would be required to fuel such growth. Conversely, the PC side of Compaq should not be purchased, and if that is unavoidable, it should not be retained. PCs are a highly competitive, low margin, commodity business. Moreover, it would be advantageous to the further development and growth of the products mentioned above if GE stayed completely out of the PC business. That would allow GE, like Sun, to market and develop these non-PC products without fear of retribution by Microsoft - an effect which has been all to evident at DEC and now at Compaq. Disclosure: I do not currently own either GE or Compaq stock. I am familiar with the situation at Compaq from my twenty years in academic computing, during which I have have used many of the products mentioned above. I do not seek any remuneration or other compensation for the ideas and analysis presented here. If GE were to acquire these products and so relieve me of the need to continue dealing with Compaq that would be compensation enough! Regards, David Mathog 1215 Greenfield Ave. Arcadia, CA 91006 Phone (home): 626/294-0135 Email: mathog@caltech.edu